Who will win the UEFA Champions League ? Predictions, favorites and supercomputer picks

As the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League reaches its decisive quarterfinal stage, football enthusiasts worldwide are speculating about which club will hoist the prestigious trophy at Munich’s Allianz Arena. The competition has taken on fresh dynamics with its new Swiss system format, creating unexpected pathways to glory. Current standings, betting markets, and sophisticated algorithm predictions offer fascinating insights into potential champions. Recent quarterfinal results have dramatically shifted the landscape, with several surprising outcomes reshaping expectations for the final showdown on May 31, 2025.

UEFA Champions League quarterfinals: Current standings and path to victory

First leg results

The quarterfinal first legs have produced some remarkable scorelines that few pundits anticipated. Arsenal delivered a stunning 3-0 victory against Real Madrid at the Emirates, placing the Spanish giants in unfamiliar territory. Barcelona made an equally emphatic statement with their 4-0 dismantling of Borussia Dortmund at Camp Nou, while PSG secured a comfortable 3-1 advantage over Aston Villa. Inter Milan continued their impressive European form by defeating Bayern Munich at the Allianz Arena, giving the Nerazzurri crucial momentum.

Road to Munich

The path to glory culminates at Munich’s Allianz Arena on May 31, 2025, marking the fifth European Cup final in this storied venue. Historically, Munich finals have crowned first-time winners, with Nottingham Forest, Marseille, Borussia Dortmund, and Chelsea all celebrating maiden victories there. This statistical quirk could bode well for PSG, who desperately seek their first Champions League title after years of disappointment. The winner not only captures European football’s most coveted prize but also secures automatic qualification for the 2025 UEFA Super Cup.

Champions League winner odds: Expert predictions and supercomputer analysis

Supercomputer predictions

The latest Opta supercomputer calculations place Arsenal as surprising favorites with a 27.8% chance of lifting the trophy. Barcelona follow closely at 25.9%, with PSG (21.9%) and Inter Milan (19.8%) completing the top contenders. Alternative models show varying scenarios, with some algorithms favoring Barcelona (20.4%) while others rank PSG (19.3%) ahead of Arsenal (16.8%) and Inter (16.4%). Despite their first-leg deficit, Real Madrid retain a 13.6% chance – a testament to their unparalleled Champions League pedigree and historical resilience in knockout stages.

Semifinal and final qualification probabilities

Barcelona hold the strongest position with an 80% chance of semifinal qualification and 41.5% for reaching the final. PSG (72.2% semifinal, 36% final) and Inter Milan (57.3% semifinal, 32.7% final) present compelling cases for potential finalists. Arsenal’s impressive performance gives them 52.8% semifinal and 30.3% final odds.

• Strong semifinal favorites (>50%): Barcelona (80%), PSG (72.2%), Inter Milan (57.3%), Arsenal (52.8%)
• Top final contenders (>30%): Barcelona (41.5%), PSG (36%), Inter Milan (32.7%), Arsenal (30.3%)

1. Barcelona (80% semifinal, 41.5% final)
2. PSG (72.2% semifinal, 36% final)
3. Inter Milan (57.3% semifinal, 32.7% final)
4. Arsenal (52.8% semifinal, 30.3% final)
5. Real Madrid (47.2% semifinal, 26% final)

Royking Niba