Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund : prediction, lineups & betting tips for the match
The iconic Der Klassiker returns to Allianz Arena this Saturday as Bayern Munich hosts Borussia Dortmund in what promises to be another thrilling chapter of Germany’s greatest football rivalry. Despite Bayern’s dominance in recent seasons, this 135th edition carries unique significance as both giants find themselves chasing different objectives. The Bavarians, sitting ten points behind Bayer Leverkusen, are focused on securing second place and preparing for their Champions League quarter-final challenge in April. Meanwhile, BVB continues their battle for top-four placement and UCL qualification. With historical patterns suggesting another Bayern triumph, savvy observers will note that Dortmund’s recent form might make this encounter more competitive than the odds suggest.
Team news and predicted lineups
Bayern Munich team news
The Bavarian giants face significant defensive challenges heading into this clash. Right-back issues persist with Sacha Boey sidelined by a hamstring tear while Noussair Mazraoui remains unavailable with a thigh problem. Thomas Tuchel may also need to navigate the potential absences of versatile performer Raphael Guerreiro and winger Kingsley Coman. More positively, star striker Harry Kane should feature despite departing England duty early with a minor issue. Midfielder Aleksandar Pavlovic returns after recovering from tonsillitis, while both Leroy Sane and goalkeeper Manuel Neuer appear ready despite recent fitness concerns.
Bayern Munich predicted lineup
Bayern should deploy their customary 4-2-3-1 formation: Ulreich; Kimmich, Dier, De Ligt, Davies; Laimer, Goretzka; Sane, Muller, Musiala; Kane. This powerful attacking setup has proven devastating against Dortmund previously, with Kane particularly clinical when facing the yellow and black.
Borussia Dortmund team news
Dortmund’s midfield will miss Marcel Sabitzer through suspension, while goalkeeper Gregor Kobel’s absence represents a significant blow for Edin Terzić’s defensive organization. Left-back Ramy Bensebaini won’t feature again this season due to his knee ligament damage. The attacking department receives timely boosts with Sebastian Haller, Felix Nmecha and former Manchester United forward Jadon Sancho all available for selection. Julian Ryerson has successfully recovered from illness during the international break.
Borussia Dortmund predicted lineup
BVB will likely field this 4-3-3 arrangement: Meyer; Ryerson, Hummels, Schlotterbeck, Maatsen; Ozcan, Can, Brandt; Sancho, Fullkrug, Malen. Veteran defender Mats Hummels returns to face his former club while Julian Brandt assumes greater creative responsibility in Sabitzer’s absence.
Head-to-head analysis
Recent meetings
Bayern’s supremacy in this fixture remains undeniable with an undefeated run spanning their last 11 meetings against BVB. In their storied Champions League history, the Bavarians hold a slight edge with a 6-5-3 record against their yellow-and-black rivals. Recent encounters have overwhelmingly favored Munich with four wins and one draw from their last five clashes. Such dominance mirrors patterns often seen among elite teams in the Premier League, where psychological advantages can develop between regular competitors.
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| November 4, 2023 | Dortmund vs Bayern | 0-4 |
| April 1, 2023 | Bayern vs Dortmund | 4-2 |
| October 8, 2022 | Dortmund vs Bayern | 2-2 |
| April 23, 2022 | Bayern vs Dortmund | 3-1 |
| December 4, 2021 | Dortmund vs Bayern | 2-3 |
Last encounter
The November clash delivered a ruthless Bayern masterclass as they demolished Dortmund 4-0. Harry Kane produced a devastating hat-trick that cemented his reputation as the Bundesliga’s premier forward. This performance highlighted the psychological edge Bayern currently holds over their historic rivals, reminiscent of how Real Madrid often dominates El Clásico encounters against Barcelona during certain periods.
Current form and match facts
Bayern Munich’s recent form
The Bavarians arrive in spectacular offensive form, having scored 18 goals across their last three Bundesliga matches. Their 5-2 demolition of Darmstadt followed an even more impressive 8-1 thrashing of Mainz. Their European credentials were underlined with a commanding 3-0 victory over Lazio. Bayern’s home fortress mentality remains intact with nine wins from their last ten matches at Allianz Arena. Particularly notable is their scoring consistency, netting multiple goals in 21 of 26 competitive fixtures this season.
Borussia Dortmund’s recent form
Edin Terzić’s men have found their rhythm at a crucial stage with three consecutive Bundesliga victories. Their 3-1 triumph over Eintracht Frankfurt demonstrated attacking fluency while their European credentials received validation with a professional 2-0 win against PSV. Consecutive away successes at Werder Bremen (2-1) and Union Berlin (2-0) suggest improved resilience on their travels – qualities essential for any team hoping to upset Bayern at the Allianz Arena.
- Bayern Munich’s last five: W-W-W-D-W
- Borussia Dortmund’s last five: W-W-W-W-L
Betting tips and odds
Match result odds
Bookmakers strongly favor the home side with Bayern priced around -145/+210/-150 (varying slightly between platforms). The draw offers substantial value at approximately +280/+290/+280, while a Dortmund victory represents the longshot outcome at +380/+210/+400. These odds reflect Bayern’s historical dominance but might undervalue Dortmund’s recent improvements and Champions League-caliber talent.
Goal markets
Given both teams’ attacking prowess, the over 2.5 goals market presents compelling value. Bayern’s Musiala, Sane and Kane form one of Europe’s most lethal attacking trios, while Dortmund’s combination of Sancho, Niclas Fullkrug and Donyell Malen carries significant threat. Historical data strongly supports Bayern scoring first, with Harry Kane particularly likely to continue his scoring form against Dortmund after his November hat-trick.
- Over 2.5 goals: -180
- Both teams to score: -175
- Harry Kane to score anytime: -130
- Bayern to score in both halves: +105
Value bets
The handicap market offers interesting possibilities with Bayern -1.5 goals available at 2.08. This selection has landed in three of their last five meetings with Dortmund. For those seeking greater value, considering combination betting options like Bayern to win and both teams to score could provide enhanced returns while accounting for Dortmund’s improved away scoring record.
| Market | Recommendation | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Bayern Munich | -145 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -180 |
| Anytime Scorer | Harry Kane | -130 |
| Value Bet | Bayern -1.5 Handicap | 2.08 |
Match prediction and viewing details
Score prediction
Bayern Munich 3-1 Borussia Dortmund. Despite Dortmund’s improved form, Bayern’s home advantage, attacking firepower led by Kane, and their psychological edge should prove decisive. The visitors will likely breach Bayern’s defense, potentially through Fullkrug or Sancho, but won’t have enough to overcome the hosts’ superior quality across the pitch. Alternative scenario: a 2-2 draw could materialize if Dortmund’s counterattacking strategy effectively neutralizes Bayern’s midfield control.
Match details
This highly anticipated Der Klassiker kicks off at Allianz Arena on Saturday, March 30, 2024, at 17:30 GMT (12:30 ET / 09:30 PT). Harm Osmers will referee the encounter with Benjamin Cortus serving as VAR official. For football fans worldwide, this clash between Germany’s biggest clubs offers an appetizing preview of the quality both might bring to the latter stages of this season’s Champions League.
