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Atletico Madrid vs Real Valladolid : predictions, lineups & betting tips

Atletico Madrid prepare to host Real Valladolid at the Metropolitano Stadium this Saturday, January 21st, 2023, with kickoff scheduled for 18:30 CET. Diego Simeone’s men currently occupy 4th place in LaLiga but find themselves in a precarious position, just 2 points above 9th place. Their inconsistent form has become a major concern, with their only league win in the last six matches coming against bottom club Elche. Meanwhile, Valladolid arrives in Madrid after suffering four consecutive defeats without scoring a single goal. The visitors are rapidly sinking towards the relegation zone, making this crucial match for both teams’ season aspirations. With Champions League qualification at stake for Atletico and survival hopes for Valladolid, this LaLiga clash promises significant implications in the table.

Team news and predicted lineups

Atletico Madrid squad update

The home side faces several personnel challenges ahead of this fixture. Carrasco and Gimenez are doubtful through injury, while Savic and Reguilon will miss the match through suspension. The recent acquisition of Memphis Depay provides a significant boost to Simeone’s attacking options. The Argentine tactical mastermind will likely deploy his trusted 4-4-2 formation despite these absences. The quality throughout the squad should be sufficient to overcome a struggling Valladolid side.

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Atletico Madrid Predicted XI (4-4-2)
Oblak
Reinildo Hermoso Witsel Molina
Lemar Koke Kondogbia Llorente
Griezmann Morata

Real Valladolid team status

Valladolid’s coach Pacheta must navigate his team through this difficult away fixture without several key players. Escudero, Kenedy, and Anuar remain sidelined with injuries, while Monchu is unavailable due to suspension. These absences further compound the visiting team’s challenging situation, especially considering their recent poor form and offensive struggles.

Real Valladolid Predicted XI (4-2-3-1)
Masip
Rosa Javi Sanchez Joaquin Fresneda
Aguado Mesa
Plano Kike Perez Plata
Leon

Form analysis and match context

A deeper look at recent performances reveals significant concerns for both sides. Atletico Madrid’s inconsistency has become a defining feature of their season, with the team now closer to the relegation zone than to leaders Barcelona – a shocking statistic for a club of Atletico’s stature in Spanish football. Simeone must balance LaLiga commitments with their upcoming Madrid derby in the Copa del Rey.

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Valladolid’s situation appears even more dire, with four consecutive defeats all coming without scoring a goal. Their offensive woes are highlighted by failing to score in 59% of their LaLiga fixtures this season. With Juan Luis Pulido Santana appointed as referee, the match promises to be a stern test of Valladolid’s resilience.

  • Atletico Madrid’s recent form: Only one win in their last six league matches (vs Elche)
  • Real Valladolid’s slide: Four consecutive defeats without scoring
  • Historical context: Madrid teams generally dominate this fixture

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Match prediction and betting tips

Score prediction

Despite their struggles, Atletico Madrid should have enough quality to secure a 2-0 victory at the Metropolitano. Valladolid’s offensive impotence combined with Atletico’s superior individual talent suggests another defeat to nil for the visitors. The home side’s defensive structure, even with absences, should prove too robust for a Valladolid team lacking confidence and firepower. Weather conditions in Madrid look favorable for a technical match that should benefit the hosts.

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Betting recommendations

Punters looking for value in this fixture might consider several markets based on the analysis. Atletico to win to nil represents a solid option given Valladolid’s scoring troubles. The under 2.5 goals market also merits consideration, with neither team displaying particularly prolific attacking form recently.

  1. Primary bet: Atletico Madrid to win to nil
  2. Value option: Under 2.5 total goals
  3. First goalscorer: Antoine Griezmann (potential for Memphis Depay debut impact)
Betting Market Recommendation Reasoning
Match Result Atletico Madrid Superior quality despite inconsistent form
Total Goals Under 2.5 Valladolid’s offensive struggles (59% matches without scoring)
Both Teams to Score No Valladolid failed to score in last four matches

For those seeking additional betting insights, the half-time/full-time market offers potential value with Atletico/Atletico representing a solid option based on the predicted match flow.

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